Down and Almost Out in Mongolia
Death knell for Mongolia's garment industry will ring on Jan 1, 2005, when decades-old global quota system is to end, freeing American and European fashion campanies and retailers, in long run, to buy as many clothes as they want from lowest-cost producers, notably China, India and Pakistan; effort at market liberalizing is expected to save American consumers as much as $6 billion a year, though higher tariffs imposed temporarily on China, as well as possible additional limits established in US and Europe, are expected to shave off some of those savings; new wave is still expected to upend world garment industry, shuffling millions of jobs in dozens of world's poorest countries; buyers are expected over time to shift their purchases to largest and cheapest producers; social and economic impact in Mongolia could be severe; map; photos (M)
