OUTLOOK DIM ON ECONOMY
WASHNGTON ALREADY trailing the nation as a whole in economic growth and per capita income gains, New Jersey and most of the 18 states of the Northeast and Middle West will continue to lag begin national averages in the next two decades, according to an analysis by the Northeast-Midwest Institute. In one of its gloomiest reports yet - it is entitled ''State of the Region 1981'' - the institute concludes that although ''economic decline accelerates in the Northeast and Midwest, Federal policy remains tilted toward the development interests of the South and West.'' Although New Jersey fits the overall pattern for the 18-state region stretching from Maine and Maryland in the East to Minnesota and Iowa, the state's growth figures in general are far better than those for New York and Pennsylvania. The institute, a nonprofit research center, was set up in 1976 to compile statistical analyses for the 213 Congressmen of both parties representing the 18 states. It uses Federal figures and projections on a wide variety of subjects.