Price Relief From Raw Materials?
Optimists see recent decline in prices of agr and indus raw materials as sign that inflation may be cresting; traditionally, commodity prices indicate what indus and consumer prices will be in mos ahead; commodity price-watchers, however, see even higher raw materials prices ahead; believe decline in indus and farm raw materials may be temporary; note prices of commodity futures, but not commodities themselves, have fallen; Chicago Fed Reserve Bank pres Robert P Mayo's recent observations cited; he holds that in typical recession, decline in consumer spending is accompanied by slowdown in capital spending; notes that capital spending is now accelerating; sees labor demand for 'catch-up' wage increases pushing costs up and giving consumers more purchasing power; raw materials dealers see greater pressure on available supplies; Rosenthal & Co, commodity brokerage house in Chicago, comments (L)