Prospects; The Market's Still Nervous
Although the stock market's 37-point advance last week suggests that an end to the six-month slide in prices may be at hand, some analysts say that the gains constitute little more than a correction, and they doubt that stocks will move appreciably higher in coming months. Given current interest rates and bond yields, Stewart J. Pillette of Drexel Burnham Lambert says that further gains in the Dow Jones industrial average would make stocks overpriced relative to bonds, prompting renewed sell-offs. However, while a ceiling seems to have been established, he says, uncertainty about a number of other factors - the impact of the so-called All Savers certificates on future rate movements, for example - provides considerable downside risk. He expects the market to stay in the mid-800 range for much of the current quart er, and doubts that a rally will begin until the market perceives tha t a sustained decelerati on in interest rates is under way. But nervousness in the markets is so pronounced that any bit of bad news could send stocks down again, perhaps as low as 7 50.