TAX CHANGES MAY TAKE THE ECONOMY ON A BUMPY ROAD
SOMETIME next month, at worst the month after that, barring some unforeseeable mishap, the House and Senate will pass, and President Reagan will sign, the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 - the product of a crisis-fraught, two-year, more-or-less bipartisan exercise in tax revision. In a tax-driven economy, the engine is about to be changed, with some consequences evident to everyone and many more that no one can foretell with confidence. As it finally emerged a week ago from protracted bargaining between House and Senate leaders, the bill represents, on one level, an ideological trade. The liberals closed dozens of loopholes for corporations and wealthy individuals and removed millions of poor people from the tax rolls altogether, while the conservatives got lower tax rates for almost everyone. In announcing his Program for Economic Revolution in February, 1981, Mr. Reagan boldy asserted that ''the taxing power of the Government must not be used to regulate the economy or bring about social changes.'' With the President's blessing, the new code, like all tax codes, will do both of those things, and the White House is positioning itself to seek amendments if the new engine starts to miss or knock a few months after it starts.