Recovery Expected to Be Weak
Ask a White House official, a member of Congress or a Federal Reserve policy maker what might happen when the recession ends, and they give this answer: Growth will be slow and sluggish. The bursts of activity that came immediately after other post-World War II recessions will not materialize this time. That view showed up repeatedly in nearly a dozen recent interviews with Government officials. They accept the view of many economists that the American economy will probably expand by less than 3 percent in the first year of recovery, or roughly one-third the average growth rate after the eight previous postwar recessions.