Experts Call for Better Assessment of Threats
Dispute between federal officials racing to protect nation from possible used by terrorists of weapons of mass destruction and experts who hold more mundane instruments pose more credible threats is throwing light on threat assessment; discipline, more art than science, relies on technical knowledge of what is possible, inferences about terrorists' resources and intelligence data on terrorists' aims and goals; field is rife with uncertainties and challenge of disentangling vulnerability from real danger; diagrams; table of risks of attacks with chemical and biological arms; photos (M)